Be very careful to take Round Tops and Round Bottoms. You got to know a bit more about the market emotions in terms of candles to take Round Tops and Round Bottoms. Unless it’s way over bought or over sold. Let’s say it’s moved above the 45 horizontal line on the MACD. You’ll see on the MACD indicator that there are some horizontal lines, that 15, 30 and 45. The reason they are there is to tell your how much oversold/overbought the pair are. So if it has moved a quite a lot above the 8EMA and your oversold above the 45 horizontal line and it starts giving a nice round top, you can enter on market emotion (on candles) and the MACD confirming the nice Round Top.
对于圆弧顶和圆弧底需要非常小心，你开始按K线了解一点市场特性，形成圆弧顶和圆弧底，无非是超买或超卖，也就是说超过MACD45水平线的时候。这些线你可以在MACD指标上看到这些水平线，还有15和30，他们告诉你这个货币对超卖超买的程度。所以价格运动在8EMA之上相当一阵子，macd 在45水平线上超卖位置，macd开始走出一个漂亮的圆弧顶，你可以按市场的脾气（按K线）进入，MACD确认了这个圆弧顶。
You can go counter trend, but you must look at the 8EMA, because it can bounce off the 8EMA continuing or going on with the trend. So you have to take some profit there are cover the rest. With either a Break Even (BE) or use the little profit you’ve made to the 8ema as part of stop loss on the remainder. So that way if you are taken out, you get break even on the deal. Round Tops and Round Bottoms are counter trend and are always more risky than going with a trend. So I would suggest as a start to do your first month or two with only trend continuation patterns. In fact it you only trade Trend Continuation patterns you will succeed with a lot of pips every month. I guarantee you’ll get more than 300 per month on an average. There might me a month where you get only 150, but then there will be months that you get 450 or 500. So that’s what I tell people is to firstly due the trend continuation pattern.
你可以反趋势做，但你要看住EMA8，因为价格会试探远离8EMA继续或按趋势继续。所以一旦走出日内K线时，你最好了解一些利润。以打成平手或留下一部分利润作为剩下的头寸止损。所以如果你出来了，你打成平手。圆弧顶和圆弧底是逆势的，比趋势继续形具有更大的风险，所以我建议初学者第一、第二口交易只作趋势继续型。事实上如果你紧紧做趋势继续型，一个月下来你会赚很多点。我保证你平均至少会超过300点每月（EURUSD），这可能是我一个月的盈利，你可能只有150点，但今后你可能达到450点或500点。所以我告诉初学者从趋势继续型开始**www.irich.com.cn交易之路收集整理**
This rhythm that I just showed you, you have to go back and see it for yourself. Go through and do some back testing. Another thing about back testing, in MT4, MetaTrader 4, if you scroll back on your chart and use “F12” (function key f12), you can shift only one candle at a time. Do that and that will help you as you don’t know what’s coming and you can make your decisions based on what you see on the chart. And see how well it goes with you and how well it doesn’t go. Don’t take every MACD signal. You CANNOT DO THAT. MACD is there to help you pull the trigger, yes, IF other things are in place. Like today’s trade (Jan. 9 ,2008), 12:00-16:00 candle you can see there that the MACD has just went through zero above and then pulled back and then gave a red signal/bar below the zero. We call that a zero break. Very slightly above the zero, I would have preferred it to be more visible, but it was there. What I like about it was if you look at the 8:00-12:00 candle, there was an engulfing candle that suggests that the market was coming down. And if even you look at the 1 hour chart, just to make sure about the emotion of the market at that specific point, you will see that there was an evening star that helped me make that decision.
我将市场节奏秀给你看了，你最好回去再好好看看，往前看看复复盘。另一件事是复盘，MT4里，如果你移动你的图形用F12功能键，每次你只可以移动一根K线，这样做可以帮助你在不知道后面将怎么发展的情况根据图形状态来作决定，可以检查你判断的怎样。不要每一个MACD信号都交易，你一定不能那样做，MACD是帮助你触发交易，是的，当然其他条件都具备，当然可以那样交易。象今天的交易（2008.1.9日），12：00－16：00K线,你看到MACD正好穿过0轴，马上发生了一个折回，马上给出了一个红的信号，macd棒又到零以下了。我们叫这种情况是零突破，比0高那么一点，我喜欢更清楚一点的，但他不是我喜欢的这样。我喜欢这种的，你看8：00－12：00的K线，那是一根吞没K线表明市场马上向下了。如果你紧紧看1H线，正好以看到一个黄昏之星，确认市场转折发生在那一点，帮助你作出决定。
So don’t just take the MACD itself. Familiarize yourself with the market motion and market rhythm as I’ve discussed it here on the graph that I’ve posted. Because that is the Heart of This System. And if the market is doing anything else in that rhythm you sit on the sidelines. You wait until it shows rhythm again. Not trending, not necessary that it be trending, although the biggest part of the profit lies in the trending market. But you can also see it when it’s coming down at the end of run when it comes down pulling back to under the 21EMA then goes back to the 21 EMA and then comes down to the 89. If there is a major moving average, like today, for example the 200SMA which was above the 89, it most probably only go back to the 200 and stay a little bit there. And if the information or the news, or whatever it is that drives the market is good enough or has some force behind it, it will most probably move through it and come down to the 89SMA.
所以不要仅仅按MACD交易，让你自己习惯按市场脾气和市场的节奏交易，象我贴出来的这个图形上讨论的这样交易。因为这是4H Macd交易策略的心脏。如果市场无所作为，按他的节奏，你就观望。你等待直到再次出现新的节奏。没趋势就不要交易，因为利润来源于有趋势的市场。但你可以看到，这一波的末尾，价格下来的时候折回到21ema，然后又回到21ema，然后跌到89均线，如果这里有个主要移动均线，象今天，例如200均线，在89均线上方，很可能到达200均线呆一会，如果有新闻或消息，市场被足够驱动，可能穿过200均线，然后又回到89均线。
Well that’s it for this rhythm part, but really you have to get this under belt, for that’s what this system is all about. Don’t take too many trades. Only 8-12 per month per currency pair. I would say 8 per month per currency pair. If you go more than that you start looking for trades. I hope this is going to help you all. If you finished here then you can go back and start reading the thread and then you will now something about the RHYTHM and the Hearth of This System.
好，这是节奏部分，你不得不被他约束，因为这正是系统主要内容。不要做很多交易，一个货币对8－12单就足够了，我要说的是一个货币对，8单每月。如果你超过这个数，你开始寻找交易，我希望这都能帮上你，如果你完成了这些交易，你可以回头再来看看这个话题，你会更好的理解市场节奏和这个交易策略的心脏。