主持人:
在大屏幕上,有一个我们股市的走向图,来我们来看一下。
――看大屏幕
主持人:
这是我们股市的一个走向图,那我想知道的是,我看这篇报道里,你是在说要继续等待中国股市的一个萧条,那么我想你看一下,你觉得在什么时候才够萧条,才值得你进入来投资?
罗杰斯:
one of the most important thing you can learn as an investor is patience. I should have put patience on this list. Most of the time investor should do nothing, should be patient, look out of the window, go to the beach, drink the beer, don't worry about the market. just wait, wait until you find great buying opportunities and then act, it's that simple, it's that hard, it's unbelievable hard, cause most of us think we've got to do sth all the time, we don't . learn patience, learn to look out of the window.
作为投资者最重要的一个素质就是耐心,我真的应该把耐心写进刚才的三点中。大部分时间投资者无需做任何事,你应该保持耐心。看看窗外,或者去海滩度假,喝喝啤酒,不要担心市场。等到时机就买进,就这么简单。但是也不容易做到,因为大多数时候我们总是希望做点什么,但事实上大可不必,要学会耐心
郎咸平:
主持人,我可不可以问个问题?
主持人:
可以。
郎咸平:
我今天一直没有提过问题,我都是被问的,我今天想问一个问题,我听罗杰斯先生讲,讲到现在,你们觉得他讲的话,跟教师讲话,有什么本质上的不同啊,这个讲的话,没有操作性。因为一个人的意识,一个人的感觉,是不能够传承的,那如果说我们今天谈话谈到最后,我得到这个结论,凭感觉看一看,看看这个症状怎么样,症状好的话,我就买,症状不好的话,我就不买,那么我请问各位,你们学到什么?
主持人:
他要听到一些具体的建议。
罗杰斯:
I’ve explained to you, I am waiting for shares to go down in china, yes when they go down , I will buy。
我已经解释过了,我等待股指下跌,只要他们下跌我就买。
主持人:
但是其实我们很多的股民,尤其看了这张图,已经觉得现在的股市已经是很萧条了,已经觉得已经很低了,你觉得什么时候才是够萧条?【www.irich.com.cn交易之路 投资经验荟萃】
罗杰斯:
gonna get worse, I’ve told you, it's gonna get worse, the professor said the government is not gonna make it worse , I am telling your government. I am telling you your government has said we are going to punish speculators. I believe our government. I may be the only person in china who believes your government, but I believe your government. They are going to tighten up, and whenever governments around the world have tightened up, shares have gone down. It’s another simple rule about the markets. it always happens, whether it's Asia, Europe or America it always happens
市场还会走低。教授先生说中国政府会采取措施控制股价继续下跌,但是我告诉你,你们政府已经表态要对投机者进行严厉制裁,我相信你们的政府。也许只有我相信这一点,我相信政府会采取紧缩政策,当采取紧缩政策时,股票就下跌。这是市场的简单规律,不管在亚洲、欧洲还是美洲都是如此。
主持人:
因为我们在座有这么多的热心的观众,他们今天都特地来参加我们的节目的,所以,我们想现在把这个话语的权力还是交给我们观众,让你们能更多地能跟我们台上的嘉宾有一个直接的交流。哪一位,来这位先生。
男观众1:
罗杰斯先生,您在投资中国B股的时候,应该是股市最低迷的时候,然后您到现在应该说还在手上,还没有出来,那我不知道这点,就是在中国B股的投资,对你来讲,仅仅是一个偶然性的,试探性的投资呢,还是比较重要的,谨慎性的价值投资?
罗杰斯:
No,it's substantial strategic position, I thought the market was low, I planed all for the rest of my life, I don't ever plan to sell them, I am very confident in China. It isn't test water, it was buy China, a interting question you didn't ask me I don't plan to sell them, I tell you the reasons, but I could also be wrong, they maybe go down, they may go up for you, one reason I don't sell that I made a lot of mistakes, I don't want to sell my B shares in case they go up from you, I might be wrong.
不,这完全是一个战略性的决定。我认为中国的股票市场还处于低位,我是为我下半生做投资打算的,我不准备卖掉它们,我对中国充满信心,这不是试水,是在中国买股票,问我是不是会卖掉,这个问题很有趣。告诉你理由,也许我的决策是错误的,可能股票会跌,但我相信会涨,我会犯很多错误,但即使暂时上涨了我也不会卖,这可能又是我的一个错误吧。
主持人:
尽管错误的也要坚持是吗?
罗杰斯:
yes, absolutely, in this case ,I will got my B share for the rest of my life, maybe I am wrong about China, I don't think so.
是的,绝对坚持。我要一辈子都握着这些B股,也许我的判断有所失误,但我就是这样坚持。
主持人:
好,这位先生。
男观众2:
罗杰斯先生当你成为一个成功投资者的时候,肯定有一个失败的政策在呼应你,然后才会有一个成功的投资,那么我非常注意到你在北京曾经说过,就是说中国的银行必须向美国的银行学习,要让它倒闭,但是恰恰是中国的银行,和美国的银行,它的所有者,它的政治关系是完全不一样的,那么你是不是在希望中国政府,它在不出错的时候,出错,让你有一个芎玫幕峤中国股市呢?谢谢?
罗杰斯:
in 1966,just Japan was about to become to a rich country, all the financial institutions went bankrupt, Japan is about to become the richest country in Asia, so you can have financial institutions going bankrupt, and still on the verge of big success. I wanna see some financial institutions to be bankrupt in China, and I hope your government will let it happen, that how markets work, that’s had supposed to work.
在1966年,日本经济起飞的时候,所有的金融机构都遭受破产的命运,那时日本却成为亚洲最富裕的国家,因此你可以让金融机构破产,也许这正是成功的边缘,我希望看到一些中国的金融机构被淘汰,我希望政府会让这种事情发生,这才是市场的运行规则,这是我们希望看到的。